Monday, February 12, 2018

Market Mantra
Key benchmark indices held firm after moving in a tight range in positive terrain in mid-morning trade. At around 12.12 pm, the BSE Sensex was seen trading at 34,217.37 up 211.61 points or 0.62%, while the Nifty was seen at 10,514.40 up 59.45  points or 0.57%. Firmness in Asian stocks supported gains on the bourses.

The market opened higher on firm global cues. Key indices held steady in morning trade after paring initial gains. Stocks held firm in mid-morning trade.

Among secondary indices, the S&P BSE Mid-Cap index rose 1.42%. The S&P BSE Small-Cap index gained 1.69%. Both these indices outperformed the Sensex.

The breadth, indicating the overall health of the market, was quite strong. There were almost four gainers for every loser. On the BSE, 2,006 shares rose and 542 shares dropped. A total of 110 shares were unchanged.

Cement stocks rebounded. Shree Cement rose 0.06%, Ambuja Cements 0.74%, ACC 0.39% and UltraTech Cement rose 0.61%.

Grasim Industries advanced 1.45%. Grasim has exposure to the cement sector through its holding in UltraTech Cement.

Telecom stocks also gained in firm market. Bharti Airtel rose 0.72%, Tata Teleservices (Maharashtra) 1.54%, Reliance Communications 1.85% and Idea Cellular gained 1.13%.

Tata Steel rose 3.83% after consolidated net profit surged 389.83% to Rs.1135.92 crore on 20.05% rise in net sales to Rs.33099.95 crore in Q3 December 2017 over Q3 December 2016. The result was announced after market hours on Friday, 9 February 2018.

Consolidated pre-exceptional profit before tax (PBT) from continuing operations rose 221% to Rs.3210 crore in Q3 December 2017 over Q3 December 2016. However, exceptional charges of Rs.1116 crore arising mainly from certain demands and claims from regulatory authorities relating to mining operations, dented profits.

On the macroeconomic data front, the government will announce inflation data based on consumer price index (CPI) for January 2018 after market hours today, 12 February 2018. Consumer prices rose 5.21% in December 2017 over December 2016.

The government will also announce industrial production data for December 2017 after market hours today, 12 February 2018. India's industrial production rose sharply by 8.4% in November 2017 over November 2016.

Meanwhile, the provisional figures of direct tax collections up to January 2018 showed that net collections are at Rs.6.95 lakh crore which is 19.3% higher than the net collections for the corresponding period of last year. The net direct tax collections represent 69.2% of the revised estimates of direct taxes for FY 2018 (Rs.10.05 lakh crore). Gross collections (before adjusting for refunds) have increased by 13.3% to Rs.8.21 lakh crore during April 2017 to January 2018. Refunds amounting to Rs.1.26 lakh crore have been issued during April 2017 to January 2018.

Overseas, Asian stocks gained after a late-day rally on Wall Street on Friday, 9 February 2018, as investors fretted about the risks from looming US inflation data. Japanese markets are closed today in observance of a public holiday.

Trading in US index futures indicated that the Dow could jump 141 points at the open today, 12 February 2018.

Today's Calls:


#The shares of Housing Development & Infrastructure Ltd (Rs.54) has started to move slowly towards the next targets of Rs.57-59. The company has a huge land bank, apart from its projects in affordable housing sector. I am looking at a price of Rs.92 within the next few months. Stay invested.

#BUY CESC Ltd Futures at around Rs.1038-1039, SL: Rs.1019, for a short term target of  Rs.1064. The medium term investors can keep holding with a SL of Rs.970. 
CESC will handle the electricity distribution business of the Group. According to Sanjiv Goenka, Chairman, CESC has already got the necessary regulatory and shareholder clearances. “The final hearing is due at NCLT in March. All other clearances are in place,” he told reporters during a press conference.

#Those who are holding the shares of Videocon Industries Ltd (Rs.19.20) can look for short term target of Rs.27. The company has oil assets in Africa and elsewhere, which it is thinking to offset against its debt.

~~with inputs from Capital Market - Live News....

12-Feb-18: Trading of Nifty 50 index futures on the Singapore stock exchange indicates that the Nifty could fall 6.50 points at the opening bell.

Overseas, Asian stocks gained after a late-day rally on Wall Street on Friday, 9 February 2018, as investors fretted about the risks from looming US inflation data. Japanese markets are closed today in observance of a public holiday.

On the commodities front, oil prices were steady after sinking on Friday for a sixth straight day.

Among corporate earnings of prominent companies back home, Bank of India, Britannia Industries and GAIL (India) will announce October-December 2017 earnings today, 12 February 2018.

On a consolidated basis, net profit of Coal India rose 4.22% to Rs 3005.02 crore on 2.52% decline in total income to Rs 22484.14 crore in Q3 December 2017 over Q3 December 2016. The result was announced on Saturday, 10 February 2018.

State Bank of India (SBI) reported net loss of Rs 2416.37 crore in Q3 December 2017 as against net profit of Rs 2610 crore in Q3 December 2016. Total income rose 17.4% to Rs 62887.06 crore in Q3 December 2017 over Q3 December 2016. The result was announced after market hours on Friday, 9 February 2018.

Net profit of Mahindra & Mahindra (M&M) rose 12.50% to Rs 1215.91 crore on 4.57% rise in net sales to Rs 11577.78 crore in Q3 December 2017 over Q3 December 2016. The result was announced after market hours on Friday, 9 February 2018.

Net profit of ONGC rose 15.22% to Rs 5014.67 crore on 14.90% rise in net sales to Rs 22995.88 crore in Q3 December 2017 over Q3 December 2016. The result was announced after market hours on Friday, 9 February 2018.

On the macro front, the government will announce inflation data based on consumer price index (CPI) for January 2018 after market hours today, 12 February 2018. Consumer prices in India increased 5.21% year-on-year in December of 2017.

The government will announce industrial production data for December 2017 today, 12 February 2018. India's industrial production rose sharply by 8.4% year-on-year in November 2017.

Meanwhile, the stock market closed the last trading session of the week with strong losses on Friday, 9 February 2018, weighed by weak global stocks. The Sensex fell 407.40 points or 1.18% to settle at 34,005.76, its lowest closing level since 4 January 2018.

Foreign portfolio investors (FPIs) sold shares worth a net Rs 1351.70 crore on Friday, 9 February 2018, as per provisional data released by the stock exchanges. Domestic institutional investors (DIIs) bought shares worth a net Rs 588.42 crore on Friday, 9 February 2018, as per provisional data.

The Indian stock market will remain shut tomorrow, 13 February 2018, on account of Mahashivratri.

Note: Many of the small investors (whose portfolio size is below Rs.1 lakh) have sent me mails, asking for DISCOUNTS on my Premium Information Service (Current Price Tag: Rs.18000 per year), if they are eligible. Yes, you are eligible, as this blog is and my new scheme is dedicated to SMALL INVESTORS only, so that I can assist you with my few decade of experience. 
It is not that, I am always infallible or is always right regarding my takes on the market, but then few decades of experience in stock market counts and hence I perhaps make less mistakes than the new comers or novices. 
Moreover, I feel investing/trading in stock market is a serious business and it hence there is no place of "Chalta Hai" (Casual) attitude here or it CANNOT be a PART-TIME thing to get good returns. You have to devote your time and energy to get scintillating returns or else one bad decision can rob off all your efforts.....if you do not have too much time or you are short of source based information (this is a must as it is  very difficult to make money without getting to know before hand what is going inside the company through your sources in Industry) then you need to take the services of professionals in this field/space.
Also, if you are trading through my associated brokerage house: BMA Wealth Creators Ltd, with a portfolio size of more than Rs.2 lakhs, then you would get my assistance along with the tips from the brokerage house free of charge.
Anyway, please give me some time to reply to your individual mails, because of the sheer number of such mails hitting my desk during the last few days. But don't worry you would get my reply at the earliest. If you do not receive my reply within two days, then kindly re-sent your request at: suman2005s@rediffmail.com or sumanm2007s@gmail.com (send in this e-mail address if and only if you do not get reply within a couple of days through suman2005s@rediffmail.com).  

~With inputs from Capital Market -- Live News

Friday, February 09, 2018

Pre-Session: Weak Opening on the Cards
09-Feb-18: Market may open sharply lower on weak global cues. Trading of Nifty 50 index futures on the Singapore stock exchange indicates that the Nifty could fall 216.50 points at the opening bell.

Overseas, Asian stocks tumbled in early trade after US stocks plummeted once again in the last session. China inflation as represented by the consumer price index (CPI) rose 0.6% month-on-month in January, well above the previous month's print of 0.3%, data released today, 9 February 2018 showed.

US stocks fell sharply yesterday, 8 February 2018 as strong earnings and economic data were not enough to quell investors' jitters on Wall Street about higher interest rates.

US initial jobless claims decreased 9,000 to a seasonally adjusted 221,000 for the week ended 3 February, the Labor Department said yesterday, 8 February 2018. The second straight weekly decline in claims pointed to strong job growth momentum.

In the Europe, the Bank of England (BoE) yesterday, 8 February 2018 said it is likely to raise interest rates earlier and faster than previously expected to damp the effects of a stronger global economy on UK inflation. All nine members of the bank's Monetary Policy Committee agreed a statement that the central bank was no longer willing to tolerate inflation above its 2% target over the next three years, reports suggested.

Closer home, foreign portfolio investors (FPIs) sold shares worth a net Rs 2297.09 crore yesterday, 8 February 2018, as per provisional data released by the stock exchanges. Domestic institutional investors (DIIs) bought shares worth a net Rs 2373.59 crore yesterday, 8 February 2018, as per provisional data.

Among prominent companies, BPCL, HPCL, M&M, ONGC, SBI and Tata Steel are scheduled to announce Q3 December 2017 results today, 9 February 2018.

The stock market registered modest gains yesterday, 8 February 2018, as bargain hunting emerged on the bourses after seven straight sessions of losses. The Sensex had risen 330.45 points or 0.97% to settle at 34,413.16, its highest closing level since 5 February 2018.

~~Powered by Capital Market - Live News....

Thursday, February 08, 2018

WINNING STROKES
The stock market registered modest gains as bargain hunting emerged on the bourses after seven straight sessions of losses. The barometer index, the S&P BSE Sensex, rose 330.45 points or 0.97% at 34,413.16. The Nifty 50 index advanced 100.15 points or 0.96% at 10,576.85. Pharma stocks advanced. Cement major ACC surged after reporting strong Q4 results. Bhel advanced after strong Q3 earnings.

Key indices opened higher and extended gains in mid-morning trade. Later, indices traded within a narrow range with strong gains till afternoon trade. Indices trimmed some gains in mid-afternoon trade and closed with modest gains with a bit of volatility seen in the last hour of trading.

Stocks advanced as bargain hunting emerged after seven straight sessions of sell-off in the domestic equities in the wake of a combination of domestic and global factors. Lesser hawkish tone of the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) in its monetary policy meeting concluded yesterday, 7 February 2018, also supported the gains on the bourses. The central bank had kept key policy rates on hold, reiterating its intention to keep an eye on the inflation figures going forward and to support growth.

Earlier, the key indices had declined for seven sessions in a row after the Government announced re-introduction of long term capital gains (LTCG) tax on equities exceeding Rs 1 lakh at 10% in Budget 2018, surging interest rates on sovereign debt in US, and amid rising global crude oil and commodity prices.

Overseas, European stocks edged lower as investors waded through the latest batch of corporate earnings, ahead of a central bank decision in the UK. Asian stocks ended on a mixed note. China's trade surplus shrank in January on huge imports surge, data released today, 8 February 2018 showed. Trade surplus for January, in Yuan terms, came in at CNY 135.80 billion.

US stocks declined yesterday, 7 February 2018, after trading in a wide range again, as interest rates climbed back toward multi-year highs.

Among secondary indices, the S&P BSE Mid-Cap index rose 1.82%. The S&P BSE Small-Cap index advanced 2.25%. Both these indices outperformed the Sensex.

The breadth, indicating the overall health of the market, was quite strong. There were more than three gainers for every loser on BSE. 2,172 shares advanced and 640 shares declined. A total of 118 shares were unchanged.

The total turnover on BSE amounted to Rs 5547.07 crore, compared with the turnover of Rs 4395.53 crore registered during the previous trading session.

Among the sectoral indices on BSE, the S&P BSE Healthcare index (up 2.91%), the S&P BSE Realty index (up 2.51%), the S&P BSE Basic Materials index (up 2.48%), the S&P BSE Consumer Discretionary Goods & Services index (up 1.63%), the S&P BSE Industrials index (up 1.45%), the S&P BSE Telecom index (up 1.45%), the S&P BSE Capital Goods index (up 1.44%), the S&P BSE Teck index (up 1.41%), the S&P BSE IT index (up 1.40%), the S&P BSE Metal index (up 1.35%), the S&P BSE Consumer Durables index (up 1.32%), the S&P BSE Finance index (up 1.28%), the S&P BSE Auto index (up 1.17%) and the S&P BSE Bankex (up 1.12%), outperformed the Sensex. The S&P BSE Energy index (up 0.45%), the S&P BSE FMCG index (up 0.36%), the S&P BSE Power index (up 0.31%), the S&P BSE Utilities index (up 0.30%) and the S&P BSE Oil & Gas index (down 0.25%), underperformed the Sensex.

Banks stocks advanced. Among public sector banks, IDBI Bank (up 6.31%), Indian Bank (up 3.18%), State Bank of India (up 2.97%), Canara Bank (up 2.96%), Allahabad Bank (up 2.42%), Andhra Bank (up 2.27%), Syndicate Bank (up 2.19%), Corporation Bank (up 2.12%), Bank of Baroda (up 1.56%), Punjab National Bank (up 1.50%), Union Bank of India (up 1.50%), Bank of India (up 1.21%), United Bank of India (up 0.98%), Bank of Maharashtra (up 0.79%) and Dena Bank (up 0.66%), edged higher. UCO Bank (down 0.17%), Central Bank of India (down 0.52%), Vijaya Bank (down 1.15%) and Punjab & Sind Bank (down 2.01%), edged lower.

Among private banks, City Union Bank (up 3.95%), Axis Bank (up 1.75%), Federal Bank (up 1.39%), Kotak Mahindra Bank (up 1.33%), RBL Bank (up 1.08%), ICICI Bank (up 0.69%), IndusInd Bank (up 0.68%), Yes Bank (up 0.56%) and HDFC Bank (up 0.46%), edged higher.

Pharma stocks advanced. Cipla (up 7.83%), Sun Pharmaceutical Industries (up 6.32%), Dr Reddy's Laboratories (up 3.18%), Wockhardt (up 2.93%), Strides Shasun (up 2.80%), IPCA Laboratories (up 2.59%), Piramal Enterprises (up 2.49%), Divi's Laboratories (up 2.19%), Cadila Healthcare (up 2.13%), Glenmark Pharmaceuticals (up 1.47%), Alkem Laboratories (up 1.41%) and GlaxoSmithKline Pharmaceuticals (up 0.49%), edged higher.

On the macro front, the Reserve Bank of India (RBI), in a notification dated 7 February 2018, announced relief measures for micro, small and medium enterprises (MSMEs) registered under Goods and Services Tax (GST). Presently, banks and non-banking finance companies (NBFCs) in India generally classify a loan account as non-performing asset (NPA) based on 90 day and 120 day delinquency norms, respectively. The formalisation of business through registration under GST had adversely impacted the cash flows of the smaller entities during the transition phase with consequent difficulties in meeting their repayment obligations to banks and NBFCs.

As a measure of support to these entities in their transition to a formalised business environment, it has been decided that the exposure of banks and NBFCs to a borrower classified as MSME under the Micro, Small and Medium Enterprises Development (MSMED) Act, 2006, shall continue to be classified as a standard asset in the books of banks and NBFCs, subject to a set of conditions, the central bank said.

#As expected the Indian markets bounced back, after a long hiatus. Nifty did got support around 10400 througout the day. The next targets for the Nifty spot comes around 10630 and 107286 on the upside. However, I feel the action will now be seen in the badly beaten small and mid cap sectors. Remain invested and average wherever necessary; but don't average every scrip.

#NDTV Ltd today hit the BUYER FREEZE in the mid afternoon trade at Rs.45. Yesterday, the traders and investors were suggested a buy on the counter on view of increasing chances of UPA returning  to power in 2019. However, the stock has some resistance around Rs.45-46.5 ranges which it needs to cross with good volume for the next target of Rs.51.

#The stock of 3i Infotech Ltd (Rs.6.35) today moved up with good volume, with rising RSI, indicating further bullishness in the counter. The investors should do well to accumulate the scrip in every decline and buy with long term targets of Rs.50 and Rs.100. You need to just buy and hold, like your fixed deposits. 

#The scrip of HDIL today moved up from the oversold positions with reasonable volume to close just below the resistance zone of Rs.52.60-52.70. The next targets for the scrip are Rs.59 and Rs.65, which it will easily reach during the next few trading sessions. HDIL is not a company but a Real Estate Empire, with a land bank of around 20 crore sq.ft in Mumbai Metropolitan Region, where the land cost is a major part of the total cost of construction. Even if we take a modest value of Rs.1500 per sq.ft of land in MMR, the land bank valuation comes to around Rs.30,000 crore, which will always give some cushion against debt. 

#The share of Urja Global Ltd today hit another lower circuits to close at Rs.7.45 in the BSE. The stock has been hitting the Lower Circuits, since my sell call at around Rs.11.30. I feel any price of this Re.1 face value scrip, above Rs.2-3 is unjustifiable. 

#The stock of GVK Power & Infrastructure Ltd today hit the buyer freeze at Rs.196.50 (on Rs.10 face value), probably due to "Hero Worship" formula, when the company has over the years amassed ~Rs.25,000 crore debt, raising its debt-to-market cap to as high as 13. I am not understanding the reasons to buy this Re.1 face value scrip at around Rs.19.6, when there are 100s of stocks, which  are looking screaming buys. 
Anyway good luck to those who buys JUNKS at such a high price because a fund manager has bought the same. Will the fund manager tell you when he exits the scrip, distributing the shares of the company on to your hands? 
Did Rakesh Jhunjhunwala ever whisper into your ears......before EXITING the companies like Orchid Chemicals and Pharmaceutical Ltd (now Orchid Pharma Ltd; CMP: Rs.17.85) or Hindustan Oil Exploration Ltd (Rs.121.30)
Moreover, the Financial/Business TV  Channels will never inform you why Rakesh Jhunjhunwala's Viceroy Hotels Ltd (Rs.16.15) failed to perform in the bourses, but will generally shout, about his investments in Prakash Industries Ltd (Rs.205.60) or Titan Company Ltd (Rs.800.65)....
This is how the whole system of stock market works, in collusion with media......Huh!! As a parting note, I would  like to point out that: I also recommended Prakash Industries Ltd at around Rs.41-42, but the media will always attribute the gains in the scrip price to RJ only......LOL!!

#My recommended Energy Development Ltd, an Amar Singh-Jaya Prada venture, at around Rs,17-18, today hit the upper circuits at around Rs.24.55.  The immediate targets for the scrip are Rs.27-29, which I feel will be achieved very shortly. 

#I have few scrips which could give good returns over a period. These are the scrips which are infront of your eyes but you might not find the reasons to invest in them, till they start hitting the upper circuits, due to hidden valuations. If anyone is willing to invest around Rs.3-5 lakhs in those scrips please do let me know. You will get the 1st mover advantage and naturally the gains will be higher. This is different from the Premium Service, which I run..
Also, small investors/traders can join my information service at a discounted rate or my associated brokerage house: BMA Wealth Creators Ltd to stay ahead of others. Exiting a stock is always very difficult than buying a scrip and hence expert opinion matters.

~~with inputs from Capital Market - Live News..
WINNING STROKES
Yesterday, the Indian stock market closed the lackluster trading session with modest losses. The barometer index, the S&P BSE Sensex, fell 113.23 points or 0.33% to settle at 34,082.71. The Nifty 50 index fell 21.55 points or 0.21% to settle at 10,476.70. Market opened with modest to strong gains on bargain hunting after a recent slump, but failed to hold-on to the gains as the session progressed. Mixed Asian stocks also hampered investors' risk appetite as domestic indices struggled for direction. The Sensex and the Nifty, both hit their lowest closing levels in more than one month.

Among key developments, the Reserve Bank of India (RBI), at the conclusion of its two-day Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) meeting today, 7 February 2018, left the policy repo rate under the liquidity adjustment facility (LAF) unchanged at 6%, on the expected lines. Consequently, the reverse repo rate under the LAF remains at 5.75%, and the marginal standing facility (MSF) rate and the Bank Rate at 6.25%.

The decision of the MPC is consistent with the neutral stance of monetary policy in consonance with the objective of achieving the medium-term target for consumer price index (CPI) inflation of 4% within a band of +/- 2%, while supporting growth.

Overseas, European stocks edged higher after recent global markets turmoil. Asian stocks closed mixed. US stocks closed higher on 6 February 2018, albeit with wild swings witnessed in the day's trading, after two huge sell-offs in a row. The wild moves were attributed to a combination of factors like interest-rate fears, computer-driven trading and the obscure volatility funds that use leverage.

Among secondary indices, the S&P BSE Mid-Cap index rose 0.43%. The S&P BSE Small-Cap index rose 1.95%. Both these indices outperformed the Sensex.

The broad market depicted strength. There were more than two gainers against every loser on the BSE. 1,988 shares advanced and 786 shares declined. A total of 94 shares were unchanged.

The total turnover on BSE amounted to Rs 4382.22 crore, compared with the turnover of Rs 5349.37 crore registered during the previous trading session.

Among private sector banks, HDFC Bank (down 1.37%), Axis Bank (down 0.96%), IndusInd Bank (down 0.52%) and City Union Bank (down 0.19%), edged lower. Kotak Mahindra Bank (up 0.03%), Federal Bank (up 0.38%), ICICI Bank (up 0.45%) and RBL Bank (up 1.11%), edged higher.

Most realty stocks advanced after the RBI kept the policy rates unchanged. Unitech (up 4.24%), Godrej Properties (up 3.94%), Anant Raj (up 2.50%), Phoenix Mills (up 2.19%), Indiabulls Real Estate (up 2.11%), Oberoi Realty (up 2%), Sobha (up 1.80%), Housing Development and Infrastructure (HDIL) (up 1.68%), Peninsula Land (up 1.13%), Prestige Estates Projects (up 0.62%), Parsvnath Developers (up 0.24%), DLF (up 0.13%) and Omaxe (up 0.13%), edged higher. Mahindra Lifespace Developers (down 0.75%), Sunteck Realty (down 2.57%) and D B Realty (down 4.98%), edged lower.

Purchases of both residential and commercial property are largely driven by finance.

The introduction of the long term capital gains (LTCG) tax on equities exceeding Rs.1 lakh at 10% in the Budget 2018, worries of higher retail inflation and subsequent hike in interest rates by the central bank going forward amid slipping fiscal targets, increase in minimum support prices (MSPs) for agriculture crops, rising global crude oil and commodity prices coupled with the concerns of inflation going northwards in the advanced economies like US, especially after a stronger-than-expected jobs report from US for the month of January, whacked investors' sentiment across the globe.

#3i Infotech Ltd touched Rs. how it could not cross the resistance zone of Rs.6.3-6.8. However,  Golden Cross has occurred on EOD Chart and the traders can expect the next targets of Rs.6.90 and Rs.7.30 within a short term. Those who have purchased at higher levels should average it, to reap significant gains in the coming days.

#A couple of days back, my associated brokerage house: BMA Wealth Creators Ltd gave buy call on Nifty CE10700, at Rs.48-49, when it zoomed to around Rs.108.90 intra-day.  Yesterday also it opened at Rs.108, but later settled at Rs.59.50, still much higher than the buy price. 
Join my associated Brokerage House, to get such scintillating Calls and stay ahead  of others. Demonetization is gone and is  history, and if you had made losses due to Narendra Modi's earlier stupidity, then this is the best chance to make up for the gains. 
Don't bother much about brokerage when higher gains can be made, by investing in some of the company's calls. Some people are too bothered with brokerage, that is why they end up slow trading platform and zero help in terms of research reports and intraday helps. This is a PENNY WISE, POUND FOOLISH FORMULA, as I have always advocated for a FULL brokerage platform rather than all those Budget brokers; the latter is best suited for experts only or who have multiple demat accounts.  

#I had earlier given a SELL call on the "Marwari" (Rajasthan based) company Urja Global Ltd, around Rs.11.30, when the speculators and punters were madly after this junk. The stock has already corrected by more than 30% from there and closed at Rs.7.84 on the NSE. The scrip of Urja Global Ltd has broken a major support at around Rs.8.4 and the next downward targets are Rs.7.40 and Rs.6.50. 
This fundamentally wear stock with FACE VALUE of Re.1, rose up insanely due to operators who made rosy videos about its ELECTRIC VEHICLE story and posted on the YouTube; which fooled the gullible traders and investors of DALAL STREET. But when there is no infrastructure at present for such vehicles both in Asia and Africa, where the company is touted to have huge future markets, it is just too much illusory and highly speculative to buy this stock at any price above Rs.2-3 (Rs.20-30 on Rs.10, Face Value). Stay away!!

#I had given a SELL on the speculative scrip, GVK Power and Infrastructure Ltd near its recent high of around Rs.27, when a south based BULL spun BULLISH stories about the company laden with too much debt and still has no clue as how to cut  it to manageable size. The scrip has already corrected by around 30%from there and closed at Rs.18.70 in the NSE, yesterday. I feel if the share breaks the support at around Rs.18.4, it can go down to Rs.16 and Rs.13.5. Stay away!!

#Those who had not booked profit in NDTV Ltd, can average the scrip at around Rs.42-43 or take fresh positions. With the chance of UPA coming to power in 2019, increasing everyday, due to some thoughtless policy blunders of the current NDA Government; this stock could become GOLDEN GOOSE of tomorrow. Stay invested!!

#Regarding Nifty, I would say as long as 104000 holds, the bulls will not have to worry much. The application of LTCG Tax, introduced by the FM will  not hurt much of the small investor community most of whom do short term trading and is already under the STCG Tax net. The LTCG TAX, which attempts to generate additional finance for the NDA government to boost up its rickety coffers and also to check the markets going too much CRAZY will hurt mostly the FIIs and Large Mutual Fund/ Share holders, like Rakeshesh Jhunhunwala or Ramesh Damani or Porinju Veliyath. The FIIs have been on a sell mode since the budget day and yesterday also they hawked shares worth Rs.1022.5 crores while the DIIs bought shares of value Rs.461.19 crores; as small mutual holders will not be affected much. Therefore, too much fear on this front is uncalled for.....and the market will slowly adjust to the new reality, as the government goes on spending mode during the next few months to give a forward kick to the depleting demand, following Demonetization and hurried implementation of the GST.

#I  have few SCRIPS which can give good returns over a period. Those who are willing to invest at around Rs.2 lakhs and share a part of the profit can send me a mail at; suman2005s@rediffmail.com or PM through my Facebook Profile. I feel it would NOT be an exaggeration to say here that: it be very difficult to make money on a consistent basis by simply following this blog - because there are lot of things, which are NOT mentioned here either due to paucity of time or some other reasons, but are send to the Premium Clients on appropriate time. Therefore, take professional help, as and when required, if you are really serious about making money from the Indian bourses. 
Also, lot of small investors whisper me behind camera that they are interested in joining my information service, but high subscription fees is what deters them. In this context, I would like to send this simple message to them: Don't bother too much about the current price tag of Rs.18000 per year for the Premium Service, if you are small investor. This price tag is for those who can pay or who have the ability to pay. In earlier too lot of small investors have joined me, giving only a fraction of what i demanded from the rich clients. 
Come to me, I will give a discount on that, so that you are comfortable with it and can be a part of me and my investing ideas. Tell me, what more I can do....since I also subscribe to many services which keeps me updated. Everyone has a limit and it is always prudent to take a 2nd opinion on serious issues like EQUITY INVESTING.

.~with inputs from Capital Market - Live News

Wednesday, February 07, 2018

Pre-Session: Market may rise after recent sharp sell-off
07-Feb-18:  Market may edge higher in early trade tracking positive global stocks after a huge sell-off. Trading of Nifty 50 index futures on the Singapore stock exchange indicates that the Nifty could gain 119.50 points at the opening bell.

Overseas, Asian stocks edged higher after positive closing on Wall Street. US stocks closed on a higher note yesterday, 6 February 2018, albeit with wild swings witnessed during the day's trading, after two huge sell-offs in a row. The wild moves were attributed to a combination of factors like interest-rate fears, computer-driven trading and the obscure volatility funds that use leverage.

Closer home, foreign portfolio investors (FPIs) sold shares worth a net Rs 2326.10 crore yesterday, 6 February 2018, as per provisional data released by the stock exchanges. Domestic institutional investors (DIIs) bought shares worth a net Rs 1699.74 crore yesterday, 6 February 2018, as per provisional data.

Among corporate news, Hero MotoCorp's net profit rose 4.3% to Rs 805.43 crore on 14.8% growth in net sales to Rs 7305.49 crore in Q3 December 2017 over Q3 December 2016. The result was announced after market hours yesterday, 6 February 2018.

Hero MotoCorp's chairman, managing director and chief executive officer, Pawan Munjal, said that the company grew on all key performance parameters including revenue, PAT and earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization (EBITDA) during the quarter, bucking the severe headwinds on the commodities front. With an enhanced focus on the premium segment and scooters, the company is confident of carrying the growth momentum forward, Munjal added.

Aurobindo Pharma, Cipla and Eicher Motors are scheduled to announce October-December 2017 quarterly results today, 7 February 2018.

On the macro front, the Reserve Bank of India's (RBI) two-day Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) meeting concludes later today, 7 February 2018 for the sixth bi-monthly monetary policy statement for 2017-18. The central bank is likely to keep its policy rate on hold, but could toughen its warnings against inflation. The MPC is expected to tilt towards a hawkish tone from its neutral tone following higher fiscal targets, oil price increases and higher minimum support prices (MSP) for crops.

The stock market registered sharp losses yesterday, 6 February 2018 amid global sell-off and in the aftermath of the introduction of the long-term capital gains (LTCG) tax on equities exceeding Rs 1 lakh at 10% in the Budget 2018 unveiled on 1 February 2018. The Sensex had fallen 561.22 points or 1.61% to settle at 34,195.94, its lowest closing level since 5 January 2018.

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Monday, February 05, 2018

Long Term Capital Gains Tax: Few Words
Photo: The Hindu Business Line
BSE Sensex and NSE’s Nifty 50 closed over 2% lower on last Friday, losing most since November 2016 as as investors were felt disappointed after the NDA government proposed a  10% long-term capital gains (LTCG) tax on equity gains above Rs.1 lakh. Investors were also worried after the finance minister revised upward its fiscal deficit target.

For the week, booth the indices fell 2.7% each. BSE Sensex closed lower by 839.91 points at 35,066.75, while the Nifty 50 fell 256.30 points to close at 10,760.60 on last Friday.

The Sensex plunged over 200 points on Thursday also as the Finance Minister read out the provision of bringing back the long-term capital gains tax on equity shares and equity-oriented mutual funds in the Budget session.

But stocks were soon on their feet. The arguments put forth were, “this was expected anyway and is already factored in to stock prices,” “the grandfathering clause helps protect the profits so far,” “tomorrow is another day,” and so on. However, that was absent on last Friday, after the NDA government's UNHOLY move to bring down a rising share market.

These rules come into force from April 1, 2019 and will apply to the assessment year 2019-20 and subsequent assessment years. So sale of shares held for more than one year, executed after April 1, 2018 will be taxed at 10%.

The FM, in other words, has given investors a one-time chance, to lock in to their profits now, and escape LTCG on profits made so far, till the prescribed date.

Stocks have been soaring higher over the past 12 months on poor fundamentals, taking valuations to crazy levels. I had already mentioned in one of the my posts that unless the government slams the brakes, the markets are likely to remain crazy. 

Indian markets do not have much depth and hence a small push can cause a steep sell-off of at least 10% to 20%. In such a pessimistic scenario, many investors might want to book their long-term gains, ahead of April 1, to avoid paying 10% tax; when these rules come into force. 

Even if stock prices rally higher from these levels, investors will sell, to avoid tax on the profit made from February 1 to end of March. So effectively, Arun Jaitley has put some sort of roof, on this rally; at least for the next few months.

The Rs.1 lakh limit for taxing LTCG is not likely to help most investors as their portfolio values have swelled with the market rally. Moreover, there are hardly any  small retail investors left, as the government failed to provide any incentive to this community -- most of the traders are either compulsory jobbers or are rich, with institutions taking a major role

Under existing provisions, where the total income of a Foreign Institutional Investor (FII) includes income by way of long-term capital gains arising from the transfer of certain securities, such capital gains is chargeable to tax at the rate of 10%. But long-term capital gains arising from transfer of equity or equity-oriented fund or a unit of business trusts was so far exempt from income-tax.

The Budget has stated that as in the case of domestic investors, the FIIs will also be liable to tax on such long-term capital gains only in respect of amount of such gains exceeding one lakh rupees.

The FIIs are unlikely to take the new laws in good spirit. 

Most market participants said the introduction of the long-term capital tax gains tax was as expected. However, they welcomed the grandfathering provision, and felt it would act as a soothing factor. Hence, the decision to levy LTCG on equity at the rate of 10% is not surprising and is unlikely to have too adverse impact on the markets.

The equities still remains as the most attractive asset class from a taxation perspective since the holding period to be eligible for LTCG on most other asset classes is three years. The rationalization of LTCG as expected though will create negative on sentiments in the short term but robust ROE  is likely to absorb this 10%, if corporate earnings growth happen as expected.

However, I am having a gut feeling that a large chunk of money will now start to shift slowly towards other asset classes like Real Estate and Gold from equities and mutual funds, for the reasons best known to all of you...... 😄😄😄😄

In the longer term, I think taxing long term capital gains is healthy for the overall economy because according to a government spokesperson: in the first year (2018-19), the NDA government is likely to mop up Rs.20,000 crore (from long term capital gain tax) due to grandfathering. Next year (2019-20) onward, it would be about Rs.40,000 crore.

This future spending by the government, is expected to give a push to the demand or revive the now moribund demand cycle in the Indian economy; though  the inflation fear lurks, due to excessive money coming in the system in the short term. 

Many analysts are of the opinion that other than a knee-jerk reaction, equity market will not be impacted in the medium and the long term as it is still the only real investment opportunity available.

FII investments may be affected in the short run as the issue of tax compliance come up which increases operational cost. Likewise mutual funds may see a brief impact but the grandfathering till 31st January. The real disappointment was the continuation of STT along with LTCG, logically only one should be there.

The Finance Secretary Hasmukh Adhia recently said: This is the first year when we started asking for reports on this. We have got startling Rs 3.76 lakh crore being reported as exempted income. Isn't that too much? Just imagine you as salaried class would have earned this much income, you pay 30% for your toil.  

But its't clear to me, why the government is mixing income tax with capital gains tax, throwing a surreal reason. Besides, the NDA government's mantra to tax the hard working RICH COMMUNITY to feed the poor will surely antagonize a section of the voters. 

In this context, I would like to highlight  two very important issues here:

#The 1st  Class season tickets of railways in Mumbai's suburban railway system is already around 4x times the 2nd class. The question is who travels in the 1st class? Mostly those in Rs.20,000-25000 category -- with astronomical house rents and living style, this amount of monthly salary is not too much in a metropolitan city like Bombay. This has  definitely pinched the middle class.

#In last November, the Goods and Services Tax Council lowered the tax rate for restaurants (barring those located in luxury hotels) to 5%; but did away with input tax credit in the restaurant business. Under input tax credit, businesses can claim an offset on the tax they pay on inputs against the tax they pay to the government on final products. But after this decision, a restaurant is no longer entitled to claim input tax credit on the food items it uses as raw material.. Also, in case of luxury dining the GST is still ~18%. Restaurants located in high-rent areas – which attract a high Goods and Services Tax rate of 18% on commercial rents hereto has been made the greatest scapegoats too feed the poor. 

Another interesting point is that: in all these so-called reforms of the government, the HINDU GENERAL CASTE, whose history in struggle for Independence of India is etched in RED LETTERS, has been quietly left out from the process. 

But having said, we cannot also expected too much from the Congress and the Leftists either; as their earlier activities had clearly indicated similar motives to eliminate the poor and downtrodden in the GENERAL CASTE masses from much of the government incentives. 

Though pungent, it might sound, but this is how the politics in India has shaped-up post Independence of India, with Dr.B R Ambedkar's "Hulla-Gulla" for caste based reservations, followed by religion based.




It is most surprising that while the NDA government and their associates are vocal about the atrocities of Islamic and other invaders, they are mum about "Bharat Ratna" & Chairman of the Drafting Committee of the Indian Constitution of the Dr.B R Ambedkar's virulent anti--Hindu diatribes, especially against the Brahmins and Vaishyas (Bania community) his take on "Dalits" who fought for the British to welcome them to India. 

But it seems from some of my Internet based research that more than than Dr.B R Ambedkar it is his blind followers and the Indian media who had tried to vilify the two India communities the most: The Brahmins and the Banias (Vaishyas)

I feel it would not be an exaggeration to mention here that after Dr.Arun Shourie challenged Dr Ambedkar's contribution to Indian Independence through his book "Worshipping False Gods" he was left out by the Narendra Modi, an OBC (but this Gujarati community is known to be rich and prosperous) in all his cabinet reshuffles. 

Rediff.com wrote:



All me to say that the British have a moral responsibility towards the scheduled castes. They may have moral responsibilities towards all minorities. But it can never transcend the moral responsibility which rests on them in respect of the untouchables. It is a pity how few Britishers are aware of it and how fewer are prepared to discharge it. British rule in India owes its very existence to the help rendered by the untouchables. Many Britishers think that India was conquered by the Clives, Hastings, Coots and so on. Nothing can be a greater mistake. India was conquered by an army of Indians and the Indians who formed the army were all untouchables. British rule in India would have been impossible if the untouchables had not helped the British to conquer India. Take the Battle of Plassey which laid the beginning of British rule or the battle of Kirkee which completed the conquest of India. In both these fateful battles the soldiers who fought for the British were all untouchables...Who is pleading thus to whom? It is B R Ambedkar writing on 14 May 1946 to a member of the (British) Cabinet Mission, A V Alexander. Nor was this a one-of slip, an arrangement crafted just for the occasion. Indeed, so long as the British were ruling over India, far from trying to hide such views, Ambedkar would lose no opportunity to advertise them, and to advertise what he had been doing to ensure that they came to prevail in practice. 
Therefore it seems, the NDA government like most of its adversaries, is not bothered of a poor GENERAL CASTE BUSINESSMAN unlike its ATTITUDE towards a Businessman from the Dalit or OBC Groups. 

It would not be an exaggeration to mention here that even the Jains, whose names hardly comes in the freedom struggle gets more governmental support than the GENERAL CASTE HINDUS. This is the biggest lacuna, post independence governance of India. 

I am sure that this TAX TERRORISM and other BIZARRE methods to fill the government coffers by employing the formula: 'Tax Rich hard to FEED the Poor", will be used for generating votes, through schemes directed mostly to the Minorities and SC/ST/OBCs, part of the population. 

The General Caste (from all Religions) should therefore, now think seriously as how to extract their dues from the government's collection of taxes which had squeezed them so hard......because how much strange it looks, the NDA government is not bothered about the well-being of the POOR and DOWNTRODDEN from the GENERAL CASTE and has hereto kept them out from the special groups, meant for upliftment and other benefits.

Note: 
I don't have anything against the SC/ST/OBC and Minorities in India. I feel the vulnerable among them need center's support and I wholeheartedly welcome this view. But then assistance ONLY in the name of CASTE, RELIGION, GENDER (women's reservation bill, anti-men laws, etc) and the like, without taking into account other socio-economic factors, is a dangerous concept in a diverse country like India. 

It is therefore, to be understood that I am only speaking about some typical birth based reservations in India and its fall out among the general population. Unfortunately, it is the government of the day, who is segregating the masses not in terms of a general criterion, but on the basis of where he/she was BORN -- aren't we REVERTING back to the Medieval Period ?

I hope you would also agree with me, that POOR and DOWNTRODDEN from any community cutting across CASTE, RELIGION and other such parochial parameters, should be bolstered so that India grows holistically. 

The Onus is therefore on you, my fellow Indians, to raise the pitch of your voices against the CASTE, CREED, RELIGION and GENDER based discriminations, undertaken by the successive governments in India, so that it reaches Delhi and the center is forced to act on the same. 
Bibliography:
#The Hindu Businessline,
#The Economic Times,
#Live Mint, 
#MoneyControl.com and other sources from the Internet.

Friday, February 02, 2018

LTCG Tax in Equities: Rob Peter to pay Paul?
Photo: India Infoline
The much anticipated LTCG Tax is now back with a new avatar in finance minister, Arun Jaitley's budget documents. The LTCG of 10% on capital gains of over Rs 1 lakh without the benefit of indexing, will co-exist with the existing securities transaction tax or STT. Needless to say, with the reintroduction of the LTCG and along with the STT, equities will bear the brunt of both taxes together. 

However, since the exemption under long term being abolished, there will be short term sell off in equities to get out or the traders will exit before Rs.1 lakh cap is violated. This is seen positive for the brokerage companies who might see more revenues, due to more and more short term trading. However, on the flip side, it will discourage investors to bring large amounts of legitimate money from other sources into equities. And unless and until there is large scale retail participation, there will not be much improvement in the retail brokerage segment of the equity brokerage houses. 

Hereto, this NDA Government has done very little precious to lift the sentiment of the people towards equity investing  I had mentioned in my earlier write up that as long as the government or the RBI does not slam the brakes, the markets are likely to go crazy. The inevitable has happened as the FM pulled the levers to reign in the equity markets. 

A long-term capital-gains levy on equity can be problematic in a country perennially short of domestic savings. In a frothy stock market, it's like crying "fire" in a crowded room. Profits from selling shares that were bought more than a year earlier has been tax-exempt in India for a decade and a half. It was replaced 14 years ago by an imposition on all securities transactions, regardless of gains or losses. Every year, there's talk of bringing back a capital-gains charge. Speculation is unusually intense ahead of the Feb. 1 federal budget, with Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu India LLP calling capital-gains tweaks "low-hanging fruit." 
This move of taxing long term capital gains, can also be looked upon in another way, as indirect boost to the moribund real estate sector, where illegitimate funds still finds lot of avenues  to enter.  Also, the cap of Rs.1 lakhs is too small for today and cannot be called as a safeguard limit for small investors, especially when many stocks have more than doubled in 52-weeks. 

Another important announcement which the Finance Minister made post his budget speech was that Rs.3.67 lakh crore was the exempted income on long term capital gains in the last assessment year alone, a bulk of which came from large investors. Mr.Jaitley is of the opinion that gains tax, can not only support the health scheme, but also foot the bill for the other major announcement in his budget – minimum support price (MSP) payment to farmers that is 1.5 times the production cost. 

This is thus a positive development for the Agri sector and health insurance companies, apart from the private hospitals, medical equipment makers, and real estate. This scheme is also expected to give a boost to the rural economy.  

Budget 2018 has proposed a tax relief for buyers and sellers of property by allowing it to be valued at up to 5% below circle rates for calculation of stamp duty and capital gains tax. This is likely to revive 2ndary market transactions. 

#As many as 51 lakh houses in rural areas are to be built in 2018-19. Also, a dedicated Affordable Housing Fund was announced in this Budget. These are the right moves towards achieving the vision of Housing for all by 2022.

#The regional air connectivity scheme to connect 56 unserved airports is a good news for business growth and office space demand in smaller cities, with a natural spinoff demand for housing on the back of job generation.

#Allocation of Rs.1 lakh crore to update education infrastructure over the next four years may result in the development of new education institutes. In addition, if the Government emphasizes more on a definitive student housing policy, a new avenue will open up for the real estate sector.

#The allocation of Rs.5.97 lakh crore on infrastructure spending is a welcome move, though we need a massive push to ensure that the country’s infrastructure meets global standards.

The NDA government continues to boost the affordable housing sector by setting up an affordable housing fund under the umbrella of the Pradhan Mantri Aawas Yojna, which will give impetus to the growth of  companies like Housing Development & Infrastructure Limited or HDIL (Rs.56.60). 

The insurance industry has welcomed the Budget saying the proposals for a national safety net for the poor in particular and the health insurance sector in particular will act as a catalyst to increase health insurance penetration in India. Extending the Pradhan Mantri Jeevan Jyoti Bima Yojana (PMJJY) and the Pradhan Mantri Suraksha Bima Yojana (PMSBY) is a positive move to bring more people into the insurance ambit, they said. Taking a cue from this we could see a spurt in the share price of Reliance Capital Ltd (Rs.485.90).

Note: I am still recovering from the surgery in gums followed by RCT. I am not able to speak well due to due this episode. Hence, I have kept my mobile phone in switched off mode; as temptations to speak might delay the healing process. My dentist has advised me to speak at little as possible. You can communicate with me, through e-mails, Facebook and Yahoo Messengers. 

Wednesday, January 31, 2018

Market Pulse
Key benchmark indices were trading lower in early trade, tracking negative leads from Asian markets and overnight slide on the Wall Street. At around 10:51, the BSE Sensex was seen at 35,925.06 down 108.67 points or 0.30%, while Nifty was trading at 11,023.05 down 26.60 points or 0.24%.

The Sensex slipped below the psychological 36,000 mark at the onset of trading session after opening above that level.

Among secondary barometers, the BSE Mid-Cap index was down 0.39%, underperforming the Sensex. The BSE Small-Cap index was down 0.11%, outperforming the Sensex.

The market breadth, indicating the overall health of the market, was negative. On BSE, 706 shares fell and 575 shares rose. A total of 61 shares were unchanged.

Overseas, Asian shares were trading lower after US stocks sold off for a second day. US stocks declined on Tuesday, as heavy losses in health-care and energy shares weighed on the main indexes. Climbing US bond yields, which imply a rise in borrowing costs, also put pressure on stocks.

US Federal Reserve's Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) commenced its two-day meeting on monetary policy yesterday, 30 January 2018, with a policy decision due later in the global day today, 31 January 2018. The Fed, in a widely expected move, had raised interest rates by 25 basis points (bps) to a range of 1.25-1.5% in its December monetary policy meeting.

Closer home, Mahindra & Mahindra (M&M) was up 0.53%. The company announced its foray into the sprayers business under the aegis of its Farm Equipment Sector through the acquisition of a 26% equity stake in M.I.T.R.A. Agro Equipments, a Maharashtra-based AgTech company (MITRA). The announcement was made after market hours yesterday, 30 January 2018.

Under the transaction, which is expected to close by February 2018, M&M will acquire a 26% equity stake in MITRA through a fresh infusion of capital into the company. The association with Mahindra will help accelerate the growth of MITRA, which designs and manufactures proprietary sprayers for horticulture crops.

Bajaj Auto was down 0.68%. The company said that pursuant to letter dated 16 January 2018 received by the company from the Workers Union (Vishwa Kalyan Kamgar Sanghatana), an indefinite hunger strike has commenced from 29 January 2018 at Akurdi and Chakan. The main reasons for the indefinite hunger strike as mentioned in the letter are the pending issue of eight workmen dismissed from the services for various acts of misconduct in 2013 -14 and dismissal of six workmen who did not report at the place of transfer/ deputation in spite of court orders, and delay in conclusion of the wage review process which is due with effect from 1 April 2016. The matter is pending before the Industrial Court, Pune and High Court of Bombay. The announcement was made after market hours yesterday, 30 January 2018.

Bharat Electronics was down 4.63%. The company's net profit fell 18.93% to Rs 302.84 crore on 12.92% rise in total income to Rs 2562 crore in Q3 December 2017 over Q3 December 2016. The announcement was made after market hours yesterday, 30 January 2018.

The board of directors of the company approved the proposal to buyback of not exceeding 2.03 crore shares of the company representing 0.83% of the total number of equity shares in the paid-up share capital of the company, at a price of Rs 182.50 per equity share payable in cash for an aggregate consideration not exceeding Rs 372.25 crore, representing 5% of the aggregate of the fully paid-up equity share capital and free reserves as per the audited standalone financial statements of the company for the financial year ended 31 March 2017.

Syndicate Bank was down 0.41%. The bank said that the board meeting will be held on 2 February 2018, for approving the revised capital plan of the ban from earlier Rs 3500 crore (of which Rs 1150.80 crore has been raised through qualified institutional placement) to Rs 3990 crore for the financial year ending 31 March 2018). The equity capital may be raised through QIP/rights issue/follow on public offer and or preferential allotment to LIC, Government of India and other financial institutions in one or more tranches depending on the prevailing market conditions. The announcement was made after market hours yesterday, 30 January 2018.

Indiabulls Housing Finance was down 0.69%. The company said that the bond issue committee of the company approved the issue and allotment of Rs 315 crore, 7.8% payable annually secured synthetic Rupee notes due February 2021. The announcement was made after market hours yesterday, 30 January 2018.

The next major trigger for the market is Union Budget 2018-2019, which will be presented by the finance minister Arun Jaitley in the parliament on Thursday, 1 February 2018.

The Budget Session of the parliament began on 29 January 2018. The first phase of the budget session of the parliament is being held from 29 January 2018 to 9 February 2018. After a recess, Parliament will meet again from 5 March 2018 to 6 April 2018, as per reports.

The Economic Survey 2017-18 was tabled in Parliament on 29 January 2018. The survey estimated that India's economy should grow between 7% and 7.5% in the 2018/19 (April-March) with exports and private investment set to rebound. The survey estimated that gross domestic product will have grown 6.75% in the current fiscal year ending in March 2018.

Today's Calls:
#Buy Eros Media Ltd at Rs.205, T: Rs.237-251, SL: Rs.197. 

#Buy Suzlon Energy above Rs.14.7, T: Rs.17, SL: Rs.14.2. The government could come up with some incentives for the Wind Energy sector.

#Buy Opto Circuits Ltd at around Rs.11, T: Rs.14, SL: Rs.9.6. The government could give some incentives to the medical equipment makers, in the ensuring budget. The stock is also good on the charts after a long time.

#Those who are still holding the shares of Hindustan Zinc Ltd can look for targets of Rs.221-222. Keep a trailing stop of 2%.

#Those who are holding the shares of HDIL inspite of its fall, can start averaging the same at around Rs.58, for targets of Rs.61-62. The government could give some relief to the REAL ESTATE sector, in the upcoming budget. 

#Buy Cadila Healthcare at around Rs.426,  T: Rs.432-435, SL: 421 on T+2 basis. This is a pure chart based call. 

#Those who are holding the shares of Urja Global Ltd (Rs.9.35 in the NSE and Rs.9.99 in the BSE), should look to exit the counter, before it starts hitting the lower circuits. The stock is highly overvalued and the current prices does not justify any valid reasoning.

#Buy Bhusan Steel Ltd at around Rs.52. for a short term target of Rs.66-69. The takeover story by Arcelor Mittal or other steel behemoths is still there.

~~with inputs from Capital Market - Live News

Note: I am not well and have undergone a minor surgery in the left jaw before the RCT. I might need another surgery to fix the problems of the incisors. Pain is there (not excruciating may be because of administration of strong pain killer) in the Left Jaw, but the things are looking a little better now. Hope the ordeal will soon be over and I will be back to my normal self again. My health conditions have taken a severe beating since the last few months. I have recovered from Malaria only a month back and now this issue is another bolt from blue.
Hence, the updates on this blog might get affected, till I fully recover from the cascading effects of multiple negative health problems governing my life cycle and also due to pile of work in my other verticals, which remained unfinished due to the same reason. 
Meanwhile, play light before the budget and use stop  losses in case the market does not recover, even after the budget.
Pre-Session: Market may extend losses on negative global cues
31-Jan-18: Overseas, Asian shares were trading lower after US stocks sold off for a second day. US stocks declined on Tuesday, as heavy losses in health-care and energy shares weighed on the main indexes. Climbing US bond yields, which imply a rise in borrowing costs, also put pressure on stocks.

US Federal Reserve's Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) commenced its two-day meeting on monetary policy yesterday, 30 January 2018, with a policy decision due later in the global day today, 31 January 2018. The Fed, in a widely expected move, had raised interest rates by 25 basis points (bps) to a range of 1.25-1.5% in its December monetary policy meeting.

Closer home, foreign portfolio investors (FPIs) sold shares worth a net Rs 105.56 crore yesterday, 30 January 2018, as per provisional data released by the stock exchanges. Domestic institutional investors (DIIs) sold shares worth a net Rs 281.65 crore yesterday, 30 January 2018, as per provisional data.

Among corporate news, Mahindra & Mahindra (M&M) announced its foray into the sprayers business under the aegis of its Farm Equipment Sector through the acquisition of a 26% equity stake in M.I.T.R.A. Agro Equipments, a Maharashtra-based AgTech company (MITRA). The announcement was made after market hours yesterday, 30 January 2018.

Under the transaction, which is expected to close by February 2018, M&M will acquire a 26% equity stake in MITRA through a fresh infusion of capital into the company. The association with Mahindra will help accelerate the growth of MITRA, which designs and manufactures proprietary sprayers for horticulture crops.

ICICI Bank, L&T, NTPC and Vedanta will announce Q3 results today, 31 January 2018.

Key benchmark indices registered modest losses yesterday, 30 January 2018. The barometer index, the S&P BSE Sensex, lost 249.52 points or 0.69% to 36,033.73. The Nifty 50 index lost 80.75 points or 0.73% to 11,049.65. Negative global cues weighed on the sentiment. The Sensex and the Nifty, both, hit almost 1-week closing low.

The next major trigger for the market is Union Budget 2018-2019, which will be presented by the finance minister Arun Jaitley in the parliament on Thursday, 1 February 2018.

The Budget Session of the parliament began on 29 January 2018. The first phase of the budget session of the parliament is being held from 29 January 2018 to 9 February 2018. After a recess, Parliament will meet again from 5 March 2018 to 6 April 2018, as per reports.

The Economic Survey 2017-18 was tabled in Parliament on 29 January 2018. The survey estimated that India's economy should grow between 7% and 7.5% in the 2018/19 (April-March) with exports and private investment set to rebound. The survey estimated that gross domestic product will have grown 6.75% in the current fiscal year ending in March 2018.

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